Before the 112th Grey Cup kicks off at Princess Auto Stadium in Winnipeg, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith anticipates a significant development in the ongoing federal-provincial dispute over energy policies. The energy policies in Alberta have been in flux over recent months, with Smith mentioning a potential “grand bargain” and expressing hope for an agreement by the CFL’s championship game on Nov. 16.
Smith expects the federal government to finalize an agreement on a memorandum of understanding by the Grey Cup to progress to the next phase and attract private investments back to Canada’s natural resource sector. This agreement would entail revising or eliminating what Alberta deems as unfavorable laws, along with working towards the ultimate approval of a pipeline to the B.C. coast.
Additionally, Smith aims to see the realization of the Pathways Alliance project, which involves a significant carbon capture and storage initiative near Cold Lake. This project would capture carbon dioxide emissions from over 20 oilsands facilities in northern Alberta and transport them through a pipeline to a terminal in the eastern part of the province.
On the federal side, discussions indicate a potential abandonment of the proposed oil and gas emissions cap, a key policy under former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. In return, the federal government is eyeing robust carbon pricing, methane regulations, and increased deployment of carbon capture and storage technologies.
Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne highlighted that several steps are yet to be taken before the emissions cap becomes unnecessary. The conditions that need to be met for this transition remain unclear, raising questions about the impact on Alberta’s industrial carbon tax program.
Alberta’s industrial carbon tax, known as Technology Innovation and Emissions Reduction (TIER), was the first of its kind in North America, established in 2007. Liberal MP Corey Hogan emphasized the significance of Alberta’s system, indicating that if certain conditions are met in line with federal standards, there might not be a need for an emissions cap.
Despite ongoing discussions, uncertainty surrounds the frozen price of the industrial carbon tax in Alberta, which remains at $95 per tonne through 2026. This rate does not align with the federal government’s escalating backstop price, potentially complicating the negotiations between the two levels of government.
The future of collaboration on carbon pricing remains unclear, with differing opinions on the necessity of industrial carbon pricing and the stability of the TIER market. While challenges persist, stakeholders are engaged in negotiations to find common ground and address the complexities of emissions regulations in the energy sector.

